ADX-Filtered Trend Rider
Verified — this backtest ran on Tessen's own engine and data. The inputs can't be faked.
F
46 / 100 — fails the gate
Win rate 37.8% (context, not edge)
OOS Net Expectancy > 0
Clears the Cost Hurdle
Robust, Not Lucky
Survivable Drawdown
Not Overfit
Net Expectancy
10.69bp
OOS Trades
4235
Sized Max DD
37%
edge
robustness
risk
execution
live
Per-asset OOS expectancy
AVAX/USDT:USDT
+18.1bp
BNB/USDT:USDT
-1.5bp
BTC/USDT:USDT
+1.7bp
DOGE/USDT:USDT
+35.8bp
ETH/USDT:USDT
+20.5bp
LINK/USDT:USDT
+13.4bp
SOL/USDT:USDT
-25.2bp
XRP/USDT:USDT
+18.5bp
Why this grade — Aurix post-mortem
You wouldn't survive its losing streak
Simulated at responsible sizing, the worst drawdown hits 37% — deep enough that most people abandon the strategy exactly at the bottom. Historically, 25.4% of ALL graded strategies also fail this (N=142).
Try: Cut risk per trade, tighten the catastrophe stop, or reduce concurrent positions. An edge you can't hold through its drawdown is an edge you don't have.
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A Tessen Grade is a historical, out-of-sample statistical measurement — not investment advice, a prediction, or a guarantee of future results. Most strategies fail; a passing grade can stop working as markets change. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Full risk disclosure